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Red265
7250129.1
3324137.1
6175129.9
Blue403
302202.9
7021178.4
2067160.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2384400100200300400500600700265403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3324
#43
137.10.8
134.2135.0
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End22.1
blue by 65.8
302
#25
202.90.7
204.6203.9
Auto18.9
Teleop161.4
End20.8
Second
6175
#61
129.90.4
129.2129.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End16.0
blue by 48.6
7021
#54
178.40.3
177.9178.2
Auto20.7
Teleop140.7
End17.3
Third
7250
#63
129.10.5
127.9128.4
Auto20.1
Teleop90.9
End18.7
blue by 31.1
2067
#18
160.20.3
159.3159.6
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed