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Red319
6401137.2
2826168.7
7103142.7
Blue429
5205143.8
5907163.7
5822142.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362312100200400500600700319429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#34
168.70.9
165.6166.4
Auto19.5
Teleop124.5
End26.6
red by 5.0
5907
#42
163.70.2
161.9161.7
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End22.0
Second
7103
#48
142.70.2
143.7143.5
Auto19.6
Teleop105.5
End19.8
blue by 1.1
5205
#24
143.81.0
139.0140.0
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
Third
6401
#56
137.20.9
134.7135.6
Auto18.6
Teleop103.9
End14.0
blue by 5.0
5822
#37
142.10.1
140.6140.5
Auto18.3
Teleop106.7
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned