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Red397
2638167.4
236155.5
1718176.7
Blue275
2265109.2
333160.8
316182.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364329100200300400500600397275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#15
176.70.9
177.8177.0
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
blue by 5.6
316
#45
182.30.4
182.2182.6
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
Second
2638
#28
167.40.3
167.4167.1
Auto18.0
Teleop124.5
End24.9
red by 6.6
333
#64
160.80.1
162.7162.9
Auto22.3
Teleop121.3
End16.2
Third
236
#17
155.51.1
151.7152.7
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
red by 46.3
2265
#55
109.20.3
110.4110.1
Auto17.0
Teleop81.5
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed