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Red310
167170.3
4384153.3
1747198.3
Blue310
1741187.6
3244163.0
5603175.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363365300350400450310310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#12
198.3
Auto24.7
Teleop150.7
End24.2
red by 10.7
1741
#16
187.6
Auto22.7
Teleop133.0
End32.3
Second
167
#51
170.3
Auto20.8
Teleop130.0
End18.3
blue by 4.9
5603
#29
175.1
Auto20.9
Teleop129.7
End24.3
Third
4384
#30
153.3
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
blue by 9.7
3244
#19
163.0
Auto23.0
Teleop112.2
End31.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed46%Face the Boss oddsEarned