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Red294
1555108.5
6401137.2
1684185.8
Blue450
1025182.2
126149.2
1071152.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297393100200500600700294450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#10
185.81.9
180.0182.0
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
red by 3.5
1025
#41
182.20.5
180.0180.5
Auto23.1
Teleop134.0
End26.1
Second
6401
#56DQ
137.20.8
135.6136.4
Auto18.6
Teleop103.9
End14.0
blue by 15.2
1071
#21
152.40.4
151.3151.7
Auto19.3
Teleop112.5
End23.5
Third
1555
#67
108.51.1
110.4109.3
Auto14.0
Teleop79.9
End17.3
blue by 40.6
126
#26
149.20.5
149.8149.3
Auto20.0
Teleop108.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed