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Red365
1599176.3
5205143.8
4342169.0
Blue372
167170.3
4099136.7
1023191.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3383780100200300500600700365372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#39
176.31.3
173.4174.7
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
blue by 14.7
1023
#35
191.00.6
191.8191.2
Auto21.0
Teleop145.6
End23.6
Second
4342
#59
169.01.2
170.5169.4
Auto23.4
Teleop113.4
End34.3
blue by 1.3
167
#51
170.31.2
172.1170.9
Auto20.8
Teleop130.0
End18.3
Third
5205
#24
143.81.8
140.0141.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
red by 7.1
4099
#62
136.70.7
137.7137.0
Auto19.7
Teleop107.9
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed