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Red314
5603175.1
5460196.6
2067160.2
Blue402
4903165.5
20169.3
503176.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392346150200250300450500550314402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#32
196.60.6
197.9197.2
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
red by 20.1
503
#47
176.41.0
178.1177.1
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
Second
5603
#29
175.10.9
173.7174.6
Auto20.9
Teleop129.7
End24.3
red by 5.8
20
#8
169.30.7
167.8168.5
Auto20.7
Teleop126.4
End21.4
Third
2067
#18
160.20.4
159.6160.0
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
blue by 5.3
4903
#38
165.51.9
168.8166.8
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned41%Face the Boss oddsMissed