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Red376
3244163.0
5813173.0
302202.9
Blue329
4976184.0
316182.3
2826168.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351362100200300400500600376329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#25
202.90.5
203.9203.4
Auto18.9
Teleop161.4
End20.8
red by 18.9
4976
#53
184.00.8
185.6184.8
Auto20.2
Teleop143.5
End23.1
Second
173.00.6
173.2172.6
Auto22.4
Teleop138.0
End11.3
blue by 9.3
316
#45
182.30.1
182.6182.7
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
Third
3244
#19
163.00.0
162.6162.5
Auto23.0
Teleop112.2
End31.6
blue by 5.7
2826
#34
168.70.7
166.4167.1
Auto19.5
Teleop124.5
End26.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsEarned