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Red426
2013185.2
141203.5
2706179.6
Blue317
2708179.7
27202.1
2767239.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337433100200300400500600700426317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#5
203.50.3
202.8203.1
Auto25.7
Teleop148.5
End28.4
blue by 35.9
239.50.1
239.3239.4
Auto23.8
Teleop171.3
End42.8
Second
2013
#36
185.20.3
184.5184.8
Auto24.0
Teleop135.6
End24.0
blue by 16.9
27
#14
202.10.3
201.5201.8
Auto22.9
Teleop150.7
End28.9
Third
2706
#26
179.60.1
180.1179.9
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
blue by 0.1
2708
#39
179.70.0
179.7179.7
Auto23.1
Teleop137.6
End18.6