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Red139
2013185.2
141203.5
2706179.6
Blue362
4027158.6
27202.1
2767239.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358417200300500600700139362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#5
203.50.3
203.1203.4
Auto25.7
Teleop148.5
End28.4
blue by 35.9
239.50.0
239.4239.5
Auto23.8
Teleop171.3
End42.8
Second
2013
#36
185.20.3
184.8185.1
Auto24.0
Teleop135.6
End24.0
blue by 16.9
27
#14
202.10.2
201.8202.0
Auto22.9
Teleop150.7
End28.9
Third
2706
#26
179.60.1
179.9179.9
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
red by 21.0
4027
#41
158.60.4
157.9158.3
Auto24.4
Teleop115.5
End15.7