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Red245
4327133.4
3950128.9
4466134.2
Blue425
2729146.5
7048144.8
3683182.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264404100200300500600700800245425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4466
#47
134.20.3
133.8134.1
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
blue by 48.3
3683
#19
182.50.0
182.1182.1
Auto20.7
Teleop134.2
End28.2
Second
4327
#53
133.40.7
132.7133.4
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.3
blue by 13.1
2729
#20
146.51.5
148.0146.5
Auto25.0
Teleop99.6
End23.6
Third
3950
#61
128.90.4
128.5128.9
Auto16.5
Teleop100.0
End11.9
blue by 15.9
7048
#18
144.80.7
144.1144.8
Auto18.8
Teleop111.3
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsEarned