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Red392
623172.0
6868107.8
4027158.6
Blue317
2708179.7
369152.3
1076118.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033720100200400500600392317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#30
172.01.7
173.6172.0
Auto19.2
Teleop122.9
End29.9
blue by 7.7
2708
#39
179.70.4
179.4179.8
Auto23.1
Teleop137.6
End18.6
Second
4027
#41
158.60.9
157.0157.9
Auto24.4
Teleop115.5
End15.7
red by 6.3
369
#68DQ
152.30.2
152.0152.3
Auto17.0
Teleop123.7
End11.4
Third
6868
#54
107.80.2
107.5107.8
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
blue by 10.8
1076
#62
118.61.6
117.0118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed