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Red232
3171167.4
1189180.4
369152.3
Blue348
401149.8
2783153.9
1629215.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340355200250300400450500232348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#32
180.40.1
179.9179.8
Auto20.6
Teleop132.9
End28.7
blue by 34.7
215.10.1
212.3212.4
Auto25.5
Teleop162.3
End25.8
Second
3171
#59
167.40.5
177.7177.2
Auto19.4
Teleop124.2
End24.5
red by 13.6
2783
#44
153.91.7
143.6145.4
Auto17.2
Teleop117.6
End18.9
Third
369
#68
152.30.5
158.7158.2
Auto17.0
Teleop123.7
End11.4
red by 2.5
401
#16
149.80.6
150.7150.1
Auto23.2
Teleop110.3
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed