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Red438
663161.6
7048144.8
888180.3
Blue271
5148142.8
329137.0
2170168.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832850100200500600700438271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#35
180.30.1
174.6174.7
Auto19.6
Teleop128.9
End30.0
red by 11.9
2170
#37
168.40.2
166.9167.1
Auto25.9
Teleop122.7
End16.8
Second
663
#24
161.60.0
155.4155.4
Auto18.7
Teleop122.0
End24.6
red by 18.7
5148
#48
142.80.6
134.6134.1
Auto19.4
Teleop110.3
End14.5
Third
7048
#18
144.81.5
132.2133.7
Auto18.8
Teleop111.3
End17.4
red by 7.7
329
#64
137.00.7
140.7140.0
Auto14.9
Teleop104.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed