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Red394
836158.7
188176.7
337138.7
Blue317
145147.8
3236165.6
4308136.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384272100200500600700394317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#13
176.71.5
164.5166.0
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
red by 11.2
3236
#34
165.60.8
163.5162.7
Auto20.1
Teleop120.0
End26.7
Second
836
#22
158.71.5
166.3164.7
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1
red by 10.9
145
#25
147.80.1
143.3143.2
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
Third
337
#45
138.70.6
129.1129.7
Auto19.5
Teleop98.1
End24.3
red by 2.3
4308
#52
136.40.5
134.8134.3
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed