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Qual 162018 Daly Division
Red371
33202.7
747168.7
4466134.2
Blue329
1739113.8
245184.7
623172.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380349200250300400450500371329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#27
202.70.6
211.0→210.4
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
red by 18.0
245
#29
184.71.3
187.9→186.5
Auto20.2
Teleop133.5
End31.3
Second
747
#21
168.71.3
160.1→161.5
Auto21.3
Teleop127.5
End18.1
blue by 3.3
623
#30
172.00.3
180.2→179.9
Auto19.2
Teleop122.9
End29.9
Third
4466
#47
134.20.6
131.3→131.9
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
red by 20.5
1739
#67
113.82.4
123.1→120.7
Auto17.2
Teleop81.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned