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Red275
2512148.3
610231.5
611144.0
Blue364
4539220.7
4362194.3
6868107.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3703530200600800275364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#33
231.50.2
242.9242.7
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
red by 10.8
220.71.6
206.3207.9
Auto28.0
Teleop159.1
End35.5
Second
2512
#51
148.30.4
149.2148.8
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
blue by 45.9
194.30.1
191.5191.6
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
Third
611
#31
144.00.4
139.8140.2
Auto17.8
Teleop102.7
End24.5
red by 36.2
6868
#54
107.80.8
109.3108.5
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned22%Face the Boss oddsMissed