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Red398
1024202.5
2708179.7
27202.1
Blue319
469166.1
346173.4
3534173.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430303100200500600700800398319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#12
202.50.8
196.3197.2
Auto21.2
Teleop150.8
End31.2
red by 28.8
3534
#23
173.70.5
169.6170.2
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
Second
27
#14
202.11.0
192.8193.8
Auto22.9
Teleop150.7
End28.9
red by 28.7
346
#11
173.40.0
167.6167.6
Auto21.8
Teleop119.4
End31.6
Third
2708
#39
179.70.8
173.5174.3
Auto23.1
Teleop137.6
End18.6
red by 13.6
469
#8
166.11.9
155.8157.6
Auto19.1
Teleop116.2
End29.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned