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Red291
3175128.1
1468146.4
2708179.7
Blue404
401149.8
3171167.4
4855186.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281401100200500600700291404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2708
#39
179.70.7
174.3175.0
Auto23.1
Teleop137.6
End18.6
blue by 7.2
186.92.1
177.2179.3
Auto20.8
Teleop138.9
End28.5
Second
1468
#43
146.40.3
140.3140.6
Auto21.6
Teleop109.1
End16.2
blue by 21.0
3171
#59
167.41.2
177.2176.0
Auto19.4
Teleop124.2
End24.5
Third
3175
#46
128.11.0
128.2127.2
Auto16.2
Teleop89.9
End22.1
blue by 21.7
401
#16
149.80.5
150.1149.6
Auto23.2
Teleop110.3
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed