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Qual 282018 Daly Division
Red386
610231.5
329137.0
4027158.6
Blue255
810142.2
3637158.5
3534173.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421323200500600700386255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#33
231.50.3
242.7→242.4
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
red by 57.8
3534
#23
173.70.7
170.2→170.9
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
Second
4027
#41
158.60.8
155.5→156.3
Auto24.4
Teleop115.5
End15.7
red by 0.1
3637
#58
158.50.7
164.7→164.0
Auto17.3
Teleop118.2
End21.5
Third
329
#64
137.00.5
140.0→139.5
Auto14.9
Teleop104.4
End16.2
blue by 5.2
810
#55
142.20.3
144.5→144.2
Auto18.1
Teleop95.5
End31.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsEarned