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Red384
3236165.6
5148142.8
3539190.6
Blue256
27202.1
369152.3
481198.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32333302006008001,0001,2001,4001,600384256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#17
190.60.7
180.6181.3
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
blue by 11.6
27
#14
202.10.8
193.8194.7
Auto22.9
Teleop150.7
End28.9
Second
3236
#34
165.60.1
162.7162.6
Auto20.1
Teleop120.0
End26.7
red by 13.3
369
#68
152.31.2
158.2156.9
Auto17.0
Teleop123.7
End11.4
Third
5148
#48
142.80.4
134.1133.6
Auto19.4
Teleop110.3
End14.5
red by 44.7
4811
#66
98.10.4
98.197.7
Auto15.7
Teleop75.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed