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Red194
4327133.4
663161.6
1076118.6
Blue490
1629215.1
1796228.6
4362194.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1515020200400600800194490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#24
161.60.4
155.4155.8
Auto18.7
Teleop122.0
End24.6
blue by 67.0
1796
#28
228.60.7
228.3228.9
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
Second
4327
#53
133.40.1
129.8129.7
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.3
blue by 81.7
215.10.0
212.4212.5
Auto25.5
Teleop162.3
End25.8
Third
1076
#62
118.60.1
114.0114.2
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End18.5
blue by 75.7
194.30.1
191.6191.7
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed