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Red353
237175.6
2512148.3
346173.4
Blue319
4027158.6
245184.7
3171167.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323399100200500600700353319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#10
175.60.5
171.7171.2
Auto19.7
Teleop128.8
End28.0
blue by 9.1
245
#29
184.70.3
185.7185.9
Auto20.2
Teleop133.5
End31.3
Second
346
#11
173.40.6
167.9168.5
Auto21.8
Teleop119.4
End31.6
red by 6.0
3171
#59
167.41.0
176.0175.0
Auto19.4
Teleop124.2
End24.5
Third
2512
#51
148.30.5
148.3147.9
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
blue by 10.3
4027
#41
158.60.4
156.3156.7
Auto24.4
Teleop115.5
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned37%Face the Boss oddsMissed