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Red389
5243128.9
4539220.7
2729146.5
Blue327
1076118.6
33202.7
3236165.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359350250300400450500389327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.70.8
209.2209.9
Auto28.0
Teleop159.1
End35.5
red by 18.0
33
#27
202.71.8
209.9208.1
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
Second
2729
#20
146.51.1
142.6143.6
Auto25.0
Teleop99.6
End23.6
blue by 19.1
3236
#34
165.60.4
162.6163.0
Auto20.1
Teleop120.0
End26.7
Third
5243
#63
128.90.2
128.5128.7
Auto20.8
Teleop98.3
End9.9
red by 10.3
1076
#62
118.60.4
114.2114.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed50%Face the Boss oddsMissed