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Red513
663161.6
4027158.6
141203.5
Blue276
2013185.2
611144.0
5243128.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390290100200500600700513276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#5
203.51.5
185.3186.8
Auto25.7
Teleop148.5
End28.4
red by 18.3
2013
#36
185.21.8
167.9169.6
Auto24.0
Teleop135.6
End24.0
Second
663
#24
161.61.1
156.5155.4
Auto18.7
Teleop122.0
End24.6
red by 17.6
611
#31
144.00.5
139.3139.8
Auto17.8
Teleop102.7
End24.5
Third
4027
#41
158.61.5
151.9153.4
Auto24.4
Teleop115.5
End15.7
red by 29.7
5243
#63
128.90.6
129.9129.3
Auto20.8
Teleop98.3
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed