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Red458
614157.7
1024202.5
4539220.7
Blue281
2783153.9
4308136.4
888180.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455276100200400500600700800458281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.71.6
204.6206.3
Auto28.0
Teleop159.1
End35.5
red by 40.4
888
#35
180.30.1
174.4174.6
Auto19.6
Teleop128.9
End30.0
Second
1024
#12
202.50.7
195.6196.3
Auto21.2
Teleop150.8
End31.2
red by 48.6
2783
#44
153.92.1
141.5143.6
Auto17.2
Teleop117.6
End18.9
Third
614
#38
157.70.3
152.8152.5
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End15.2
red by 21.4
4308
#52
136.40.7
135.5134.8
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned20%Face the Boss oddsMissed