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Red281
836158.7
1305213.2
5561161.3
Blue280
245184.7
2708179.7
810142.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420320100200500600700281280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#42
213.20.1
220.3220.4
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
red by 28.5
245
#29
184.71.4
189.3187.9
Auto20.2
Teleop133.5
End31.3
Second
161.30.5
166.1165.6
Auto18.9
Teleop114.5
End30.8
blue by 18.3
2708
#39
179.71.3
172.2173.5
Auto23.1
Teleop137.6
End18.6
Third
836
#22
158.70.3
166.6166.3
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1
red by 16.5
810
#55
142.20.9
143.1143.9
Auto18.1
Teleop95.5
End31.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
70%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed