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Red321
2706179.6
3534173.7
1305213.2
Blue414
7048144.8
1796228.6
141203.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365373250300350400450500321414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#42
213.20.7
218.4217.7
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
blue by 15.3
1796
#28
228.60.3
228.9229.2
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
Second
2706
#26
179.60.4
179.5179.9
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
blue by 23.9
141
#5
203.51.7
190.5192.1
Auto25.7
Teleop148.5
End28.4
Third
3534
#23
173.70.2
170.9171.0
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
red by 28.9
7048
#18
144.81.0
135.2136.2
Auto18.8
Teleop111.3
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
55%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed