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Red224
623172.0
329137.0
2783153.9
Blue385
4327133.4
2013185.2
2877186.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317378100200500600700800224385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#30
172.00.1
179.8179.7
Auto19.2
Teleop122.9
End29.9
blue by 14.2
186.20.0
183.3183.4
Auto24.3
Teleop143.5
End19.1
Second
2783
#44
153.90.8
146.7147.5
Auto17.2
Teleop117.6
End18.9
blue by 31.3
2013
#36
185.21.3
172.2173.5
Auto24.0
Teleop135.6
End24.0
Third
329
#64
137.00.6
139.5138.9
Auto14.9
Teleop104.4
End16.2
red by 3.6
4327
#53
133.40.3
129.7129.9
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed