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Red211
4466134.2
481198.1
337138.7
Blue504
3950128.9
401149.8
888180.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363860100200300500600700211504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#45
138.71.5
130.8132.3
Auto19.5
Teleop98.1
End24.3
blue by 41.6
888
#35
180.30.3
175.2175.5
Auto19.6
Teleop128.9
End30.0
Second
4466
#47
134.20.2
132.5132.7
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
blue by 15.6
401
#16
149.80.4
149.6149.1
Auto23.2
Teleop110.3
End16.6
Third
4811
#66
98.10.3
97.797.4
Auto15.7
Teleop75.2
End8.4
blue by 30.8
3950
#61
128.90.9
122.7123.6
Auto16.5
Teleop100.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned