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Red248
836158.7
27202.1
1739113.8
Blue350
4855186.9
5030163.5
4362194.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953900100200500600700248350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#14
202.10.6
194.7195.3
Auto22.9
Teleop150.7
End28.9
red by 7.9
194.30.1
191.7191.6
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
Second
836
#22
158.72.0
164.0162.1
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1
blue by 28.2
186.91.6
179.3180.9
Auto20.8
Teleop138.9
End28.5
Third
1739
#67
113.81.0
119.0118.0
Auto17.2
Teleop81.3
End14.8
blue by 49.7
5030
#49
163.50.4
162.0162.4
Auto19.1
Teleop127.6
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed