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Red475
2170168.4
6753168.1
1796228.6
Blue206
145147.8
5561161.3
3171167.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4353030100200400500600700475206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#28
228.60.5
229.2229.7
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
red by 61.1
3171
#59
167.41.3
173.9172.6
Auto19.4
Teleop124.2
End24.5
Second
2170
#37
168.40.4
167.8168.2
Auto25.9
Teleop122.7
End16.8
red by 7.0
161.30.0
162.6162.6
Auto18.9
Teleop114.5
End30.8
Third
6753
#50
168.10.4
168.6169.0
Auto23.1
Teleop122.5
End22.6
red by 20.3
145
#25
147.81.1
144.8145.9
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned45%Face the Boss oddsEarned