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Red270
4481150.5
2512148.3
481198.1
Blue448
1739113.8
1629215.1
2708179.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2214260100300500600700800270448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#40
150.50.5
151.3151.8
Auto21.9
Teleop115.4
End14.8
blue by 64.7
215.10.7
212.2212.9
Auto25.5
Teleop162.3
End25.8
Second
2512
#51
148.30.1
147.9148.1
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
blue by 31.3
2708
#39
179.70.8
177.3178.1
Auto23.1
Teleop137.6
End18.6
Third
4811
#66
98.10.2
97.197.4
Auto15.7
Teleop75.2
End8.4
blue by 15.6
1739
#67
113.80.8
116.7115.9
Auto17.2
Teleop81.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed