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Red243
2783153.9
4466134.2
6964119.0
Blue433
2706179.6
1468146.4
836158.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624000100200300500600243433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#44DQ
153.91.5
147.9149.4
Auto17.2
Teleop117.6
End18.9
blue by 25.7
2706
#26
179.60.0
180.0180.1
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
Second
4466
#47
134.20.7
132.9133.6
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
blue by 24.5
836
#22
158.71.2
160.0158.9
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1
Third
6964
#65
119.00.7
116.2116.9
Auto18.3
Teleop83.5
End19.6
blue by 27.5
1468
#43
146.41.0
142.2143.2
Auto21.6
Teleop109.1
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed