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Red301
346173.4
5030163.5
610231.5
Blue407
3683182.5
5517160.9
2013185.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4213520100200300500600700800301407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#33
231.50.9
241.5240.6
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
red by 46.3
2013
#36
185.21.5
175.0176.5
Auto24.0
Teleop135.6
End24.0
Second
346
#11
173.41.4
169.4170.9
Auto21.8
Teleop119.4
End31.6
blue by 9.1
3683
#19
182.51.1
179.5180.6
Auto20.7
Teleop134.2
End28.2
Third
5030
#49
163.50.5
162.4163.0
Auto19.1
Teleop127.6
End16.3
red by 2.5
5517
#15
160.90.2
163.2163.0
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
81%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsMissed