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Red495
5561161.3
4539220.7
74157.7
Blue286
5962118.3
663161.6
1189180.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322780100200500600700495286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.71.3
210.7212.0
Auto28.0
Teleop159.1
End35.5
red by 40.3
1189
#32
180.40.3
177.4177.7
Auto20.6
Teleop132.9
End28.7
Second
161.30.6
162.6162.0
Auto18.9
Teleop114.5
End30.8
blue by 0.2
663
#24
161.61.3
157.6158.9
Auto18.7
Teleop122.0
End24.6
Third
74
#56
157.71.5
162.8161.3
Auto20.2
Teleop123.4
End12.3
red by 39.5
5962
#60
118.30.9
117.2116.4
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
49%Face the Boss oddsEarned22%Face the Boss oddsEarned