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Red401
237175.6
2767239.5
1629215.1
Blue284
33202.7
5148142.8
1796228.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4333500100200300400500600700401284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.50.3
237.3237.6
Auto23.8
Teleop171.3
End42.8
red by 10.9
1796
#28
228.60.9
229.7230.6
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
Second
215.10.7
212.9213.6
Auto25.5
Teleop162.3
End25.8
red by 12.4
33
#27
202.70.7
206.6205.8
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
Third
237
#10
175.61.3
171.8173.1
Auto19.7
Teleop128.8
End28.0
red by 32.8
5148
#48
142.81.8
136.3138.0
Auto19.4
Teleop110.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
90%Face the Boss oddsEarned37%Face the Boss oddsMissed