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Red299
481198.1
141203.5
5243128.9
Blue385
3175128.1
2877186.2
2170168.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290388100200500600299385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#5
203.51.5
195.1196.5
Auto25.7
Teleop148.5
End28.4
red by 17.3
186.20.2
183.9184.0
Auto24.3
Teleop143.5
End19.1
Second
5243
#63
128.90.7
128.8129.4
Auto20.8
Teleop98.3
End9.9
blue by 39.5
2170
#37
168.40.8
168.2169.1
Auto25.9
Teleop122.7
End16.8
Third
4811
#66
98.10.6
97.497.9
Auto15.7
Teleop75.2
End8.4
blue by 30.0
3175
#46
128.10.3
126.0126.3
Auto16.2
Teleop89.9
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed