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Red303
74157.7
5517160.9
4855186.9
Blue317
7048144.8
2512148.3
469166.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3933130100200500600700303317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.91.9
183.8185.7
Auto20.8
Teleop138.9
End28.5
red by 20.8
469
#8
166.11.0
163.6164.6
Auto19.1
Teleop116.2
End29.6
Second
5517
#15
160.90.1
163.0162.8
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
red by 12.6
2512
#51
148.30.5
148.1148.6
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
Third
74
#56
157.70.6
161.3160.7
Auto20.2
Teleop123.4
End12.3
red by 13.0
7048
#18
144.81.9
139.3141.2
Auto18.8
Teleop111.3
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsMissed