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Red445
1305213.2
5962118.3
888180.3
Blue309
1468146.4
1739113.8
3539190.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4193210100200500600700445309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#42
213.20.8
215.7214.9
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
red by 22.7
3539
#17
190.61.8
184.9186.7
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
888
#35
180.31.1
177.8178.9
Auto19.6
Teleop128.9
End30.0
red by 33.8
1468
#43
146.41.3
143.2144.5
Auto21.6
Teleop109.1
End16.2
Third
5962
#60
118.30.3
116.4116.0
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
red by 4.5
1739
#67
113.80.5
115.9115.4
Auto17.2
Teleop81.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
60%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed