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Red412
481198.1
4362194.3
2767239.5
Blue310
5962118.3
145147.8
2013185.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242680100200300500600700412310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.50.0
237.6237.6
Auto23.8
Teleop171.3
End42.8
red by 54.3
2013
#36
185.21.5
177.7179.2
Auto24.0
Teleop135.6
End24.0
Second
194.30.6
191.2191.7
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
red by 46.5
145
#25
147.80.4
146.8147.2
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
Third
4811
#66
98.10.1
97.997.9
Auto15.7
Teleop75.2
End8.4
blue by 20.1
5962
#60
118.30.2
116.0116.3
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
85%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed