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Red136
5561161.3
4481150.5
401149.8
Blue473
329137.0
3539190.6
346173.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351379200300500600136473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.30.9
162.1162.9
Auto18.9
Teleop114.5
End30.8
blue by 29.2
3539
#17
190.61.0
186.7187.7
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
4481
#40
150.50.5
152.6153.2
Auto21.9
Teleop115.4
End14.8
blue by 22.9
346
#11
173.40.7
171.2172.0
Auto21.8
Teleop119.4
End31.6
Third
401
#16
149.80.3
152.2152.5
Auto23.2
Teleop110.3
End16.6
red by 12.8
329
#64
137.00.6
137.6137.0
Auto14.9
Teleop104.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsEarned