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Red382
2706179.6
3539190.6
401149.8
Blue219
2512148.3
145147.8
614157.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4182910100200500600700800382219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#17
190.61.3
187.7189.0
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 32.8
614
#38
157.70.4
159.3158.9
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End15.2
Second
2706
#26
179.60.1
180.9180.9
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
red by 31.2
2512
#51
148.30.1
148.9149.0
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
Third
401
#16
149.81.4
152.5151.1
Auto23.2
Teleop110.3
End16.6
red by 2.0
145
#25
147.80.8
147.2148.0
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed