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Red151
3950128.9
481198.1
2783153.9
Blue414
1305213.2
33202.7
346173.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1844840100300400600700151414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#44DQ
153.91.5
151.5153.0
Auto17.2
Teleop117.6
End18.9
blue by 59.4
1305
#42
213.20.2
214.9214.6
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
Second
3950
#61
128.90.9
127.6128.5
Auto16.5
Teleop100.0
End11.9
blue by 73.8
33
#27
202.70.5
204.8204.3
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
Third
4811
#66
98.10.3
97.998.2
Auto15.7
Teleop75.2
End8.4
blue by 75.3
346
#11
173.41.0
172.0173.0
Auto21.8
Teleop119.4
End31.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed96%Face the Boss oddsMissed