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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Darwin Division
Red540
772191.3
177203.3
176199.9
Blue356
3542183.1
2337206.0
1018170.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40035202006008001,0001,2001,4001,600540356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#14
203.30.4
204.8→204.5
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
blue by 2.8
2337
#13
206.00.2
206.4→206.2
Auto23.6
Teleop157.9
End21.1
Second
176
#4
199.90.1
199.5→199.6
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 16.8
3542
#5
183.10.6
182.0→182.6
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
Third
772
#17
191.30.1
191.0→191.1
Auto25.0
Teleop139.6
End28.0
red by 20.9
1018
#46
170.40.2
170.9→170.7
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3