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Red393
2451183.7
2481207.1
5406215.6
Blue394
865194.7
494210.4
4917210.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38336205001,0001,500393394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.60.2
215.0215.2
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
red by 4.9
4917
#23
210.70.3
209.8210.1
Auto25.6
Teleop152.8
End30.3
Second
2481
#33
207.10.2
207.7207.5
Auto23.5
Teleop168.4
End15.6
blue by 3.3
494
#6
210.40.0
211.2211.2
Auto21.6
Teleop161.2
End26.0
Third
2451
#32
183.70.3
184.3184.1
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
blue by 11.0
865
#7
194.70.2
194.3194.5
Auto25.3
Teleop139.0
End28.1