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Qual 102018 Darwin Division
Red356
5914144.6
3504154.6
578170.3
Blue301
78175.1
6936122.5
6590129.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381316100200500600700800356301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#26
170.31.0
162.5→163.6
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
blue by 4.8
78
#42
175.10.1
175.9→175.8
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
Second
3504
#63
154.61.3
156.3→157.6
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.8
red by 25.1
6590
#61
129.60.3
132.6→132.9
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
Third
5914
#27
144.62.3
131.4→133.7
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.4
red by 22.1
6936
#29
122.51.2
124.2→123.0
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed