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Qual 112018 Darwin Division
Red472
2791201.0
494210.4
865194.7
Blue155
6947106.4
3117129.5
5434150.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4941730100300400600700800472155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#6
210.40.0
213.9→213.9
Auto21.6
Teleop161.2
End26.0
red by 60.0
5434
#51
150.41.1
142.5→143.7
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
Second
2791
#25
201.00.8
204.1→204.8
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
red by 71.5
3117
#67
129.50.6
137.5→138.1
Auto18.4
Teleop95.8
End9.6
Third
865
#7
194.71.2
187.8→189.0
Auto25.3
Teleop139.0
End28.1
red by 88.3
6947
#44
106.40.4
107.1→106.7
Auto17.0
Teleop81.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
72%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed