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Red292
1418173.1
6193164.7
3274141.5
Blue456
3542183.1
4028193.8
4946178.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303403100200500600700800292456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#48
173.10.2
173.9174.0
Auto22.0
Teleop123.1
End29.9
blue by 20.6
4028
#11
193.81.5
181.8183.2
Auto20.0
Teleop138.7
End33.7
Second
6193
#39
164.70.3
166.6166.3
Auto18.7
Teleop124.4
End17.2
blue by 18.4
183.10.7
169.0169.8
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
Third
3274
#40
141.50.0
142.0142.0
Auto18.1
Teleop110.6
End12.7
blue by 37.4
178.90.0
174.1174.1
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed48%Face the Boss oddsEarned