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Qual 1022018 Darwin Division
Red324
6947106.4
234204.2
1519187.9
Blue364
1711159.4
3130199.4
157135.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381323100200500600700324364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
204.21.4
202.1→203.5
Auto27.6
Teleop141.7
End37.3
red by 4.9
3130
#49
199.40.9
197.6→198.6
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
Second
1519
#18
187.90.8
186.7→187.5
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
red by 28.5
1711
#64
159.40.4
159.0→159.4
Auto17.2
Teleop126.3
End18.9
Third
6947
#44
106.41.6
104.8→106.4
Auto17.0
Teleop81.9
End11.8
blue by 29.3
157
#53
135.61.0
136.8→135.9
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed